{"id":77651,"date":"2024-08-20T10:35:52","date_gmt":"2024-08-20T16:35:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.uchealth.org\/today\/?p=77651"},"modified":"2024-08-20T10:35:52","modified_gmt":"2024-08-20T16:35:52","slug":"covid-cases-spike-in-summer-months-what-will-happen-in-fall-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.uchealth.org\/today\/covid-cases-spike-in-summer-months-what-will-happen-in-fall-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"COVID-19 cases spike in summer months. What will happen in fall 2024?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;\" class=\"sharethis-inline-share-buttons\" ><\/div><figure id=\"attachment_77685\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-77685\" style=\"width: 640px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-77685\" src=\"https:\/\/uchealth-wp-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2024\/08\/15152116\/GettyImages-1165398672-young-adults-fun-watermelon-web.webp\" alt=\"From barbecues to festivals and elder facilities to crowded airports, COVID has been infecting many people this summer. Cases are likely to keep rising this fall and winter. Photo: Getty Images.\" width=\"640\" height=\"426\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-77685\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">From barbecues to festivals and elder facilities to crowded airports, COVID has been infecting many people this summer. Cases are likely to keep rising this fall and winter. Photo: Getty Images.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The most dramatic evidence that COVID-19 cases have been spiking this summer came during the <a href=\"https:\/\/olympics.com\/en\/paris-2024\/the-games\/olympic-paralympic-games\/olympic-games\">Paris Olympic Games<\/a> when the \u201cWorld\u2019s Fastest Man\u201d collapsed on the track after one of his races.<\/p>\n<p>U.S. sprinter Noah Lyles still managed to win a bronze medal in the 200-meter race that he was projected to win, but after the sprint, it became obvious that he was sick and struggling.<\/p>\n<p>Lyles, who has coped with asthma since he was a child, later <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcolympics.com\/videos\/lyles-takes-bronze-200m-after-covid-diagnosis\">told NBC interviewers<\/a> that he had tested positive for COVID-19 two days before the 200-meter final.<\/p>\n<p>After finishing, Lyles remained splayed on the track until medical authorities came to help him. They insisted he ride in a wheelchair to get fluids and a checkup.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt was extremely hard to breathe. My chest started getting tight. It was hard to get up because I was so fatigued,\u201d Lyles <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/videos\/sports\/olympics\/2024\/08\/11\/noah-lyles-talks-about-200-meter-collapse\/74758820007\/\">told reporters from USA Today<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier in the Games, Lyles dazzled crowds and was full of bravado before <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=X8c8Bt3HSTY\">eking out a razor-thin win in the 100-meter<\/a>, which earned him bragging rights as the speediest man on Earth.<\/p>\n<p>After Lyles chose to compete following a positive COVID-19 test, viewers around the world could see he was sick. The spark had disappeared from his eyes, and some questioned whether Lyles should have compromised his own health \u2014 or perhaps put others at risk \u2014 by competing while sick.<\/p>\n<p>But there were no strict COVID-19 protocols at the Olympics this year, and four years after the pandemic began, it has become obvious that COVID-19 is a party crasher that can strike in all seasons.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Is COVID on the rise?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>From barbecues to festivals and elder facilities to crowded airports, COVID-19 has been infecting many people this summer. COVID cases are likely to keep rising this fall and winter.<\/p>\n<p>Experts at the World Health Organization recently declared that COVID-19 infections are surging around the world, with 84 countries from the Americas to Europe to the Western Pacific reporting summer spikes. While other respiratory illnesses like the flu typically hit people during the winter months, it\u2019s now clear that COVID-19 infections can strike during any season, and Dr. Maria Van Kerkhove, a director of pandemic preparedness, <a href=\"https:\/\/media.un.org\/unifeed\/en\/asset\/d324\/d3243089\">warned that more severe variants may be on the horizon<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Many people who are sick with COVID-19 now either don\u2019t take a test or don\u2019t report test results to any government or medical authorities, so it\u2019s difficult to say exactly how bad current COVID-19 spikes are. But both the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/nwss\/rv\/COVID19-nationaltrend.html\">wastewater monitoring<\/a> and anecdotal reports from doctors indicate that COVID-19 cases have been rising all summer, and the newest infections can hit people hard.<\/p>\n<p>So, what symptoms are people experiencing? What\u2019s different about COVID-19 infections now compared to the earliest days of the pandemic? How long are symptoms lasting? What are the protocols if you test positive? What should you do if you\u2019re traveling? And when can people get the newest vaccines? To answer your top questions, we consulted with Dr. Michelle Barron, UCHealth\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.uchealth.org\/provider\/michelle-barron-md\/\">senior medical director of infection prevention and control<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMost people who have had COVID-19 this year will tell you that it really knocked them down,\u201d said Barron, who is also <a href=\"https:\/\/som.cuanschutz.edu\/Profiles\/Faculty\/Profile\/8603\">a professor<\/a> at the <a href=\"https:\/\/medschool.cuanschutz.edu\/\">University of Colorado School of Medicine<\/a> on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.uchealth.org\/locations\/uchealth-at-university-of-colorado-anschutz-medical-campus\/\">Anschutz Medical Campus<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI know quite a few people who have gotten it recently, and they were very sick. They\u2019d tell me, \u2018I had a fever and I couldn\u2019t get out of bed,\u2019\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>What are COVID symptoms in 2024?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Barron said most people are describing common symptoms that are similar to a bad cold or a case of the flu.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s primarily the same symptoms that we\u2019ve seen all along like a sore throat, body aches, headaches, sinus pressure, runny nose, fatigue and a fever that goes away pretty quickly,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>How long does COVID last?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The duration of illness seems to be shorter than COVID-19 infections were in the past, especially in the earliest days of the pandemic, Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPeople have been getting sick but not for long periods of time. They tend to spike fevers and feel really, really tired, like they have the flu,\u201d Barron said. \u201cBut then they get better quickly, as early as Day 3.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Inspired by track and field events, Barron compared the current course of COVID-19 infections to Olympic sprinters like Lyles.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s like your 100-meter-dash people where it\u2019s intense, and in 10 seconds, it\u2019s over,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>Some people get infections that last longer. But many people these days are getting an intense illness that passes relatively quickly.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt hits you hard, and then it\u2019s done,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Why COVID is increasing in the summer: Isn\u2019t that weird for a respiratory virus?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>It is unusual for respiratory viruses (other than Rhinovirus which causes the common cold) to surge in the summer, Barron said. But viruses are opportunistic. They spread when they can find new hosts, regardless of the season.<\/p>\n<p>And the newest COVID-19 variants are clearly pros at infecting people.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe newest variants are much more efficient at transmitting themselves. They\u2019re faster at infecting people, and they get more people sick,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>Plus, many people have not been vaccinated recently, or their immunities from previous infections or booster shots have worn off.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cImmunities are not permanent. That\u2019s why people get colds every year. Viruses change slightly, and your immune system is like, \u2018Oh. Who are you? I haven\u2019t seen you in a while.\u2019 We need to retrain our bodies to respond. That\u2019s why we need updated vaccines,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>This year\u2019s summer wave of infections shows that the current variants are sneaky and talented.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPeople who get sick have a higher viral load. You have more virus out there, and it transmits much better,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Is there a new variant of COVID?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The current variants that are causing COVID-19 infections now are all descendants of the omicron variant. Experts name the omicron sub-variants alphabetically, and we\u2019re now into the Ks. The KP.3 subvariants make up nearly 50% of the variants now circulating and causing infections, <u><a href=\"https:\/\/covid.cdc.gov\/covid-data-tracker\/#variant-proportions\">according to the CDC\u2019s \u201cNowcast\u201d data tracker.<\/a><\/u><\/p>\n<p>The newest vaccine, which is due out any day now, was supposed to target the newest variants, so Barron and other infectious disease experts hope it will be highly effective in preventing deaths, hospitalizations and serious illnesses this fall and winter.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Speaking of fall and winter, what is likely to happen with COVID-19 infections in the coming months? <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>\u201cWe don\u2019t know yet where we\u2019re going to land in fall or if there\u2019s going to be yet another variant, but COVID-19 is now behaving a lot like the flu, so we most certainly recommend that people get both their flu shots and their new COVID-19 shots this fall,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhether you don\u2019t like being sick yourself or if you have vulnerable people in your life who you want to protect, you\u2019ll want to get vaccinated,\u201d Barron said. \u201cAnd people who like to travel should definitely get vaccinated so they don\u2019t acquire COVID-19 while they\u2019re abroad.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Who should get the new 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\u201cPeople of all ages should get it,\u201d Barron said. \u201cI would prioritize anyone over age 65 and anyone with underlying immunologic issues like cancer or lung disease or any kind of chronic condition like diabetes or heart disease.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor everyone else, it\u2019s a good idea to get the new vaccine,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.uchealth.org\/today\/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-2024-25-covid-19-vaccine\/\">Learn all about the new COVID-19 vaccine that is coming this fall.<\/a><\/p>\n<h2><strong>When will the new vaccine be available?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The new vaccine is due out within days. As of mid-August, UCHealth medical providers do not have the new COVID-19 vaccine yet.<\/p>\n<p>Barron expects the new COVID-19 vaccines to be available for patients by September.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>So, if I\u2019ve gotten hit by the summer wave of COVID-19 infections, when should I get the new vaccine?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>If you\u2019ve had a recent case of COVID-19, you should have some natural immunities that will last about three months. You can get the new vaccine any time you are better but can wait up until about 90 days after you had a COVID-19 infection, Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>Barron encourages people to go with convenience rather than worrying too much about precise timing for fall vaccines.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor older adults, especially, get your vaccines when it\u2019s convenient,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>People who delay vaccines might not get them before the respiratory virus season hits hard. So, if you\u2019re going to your doctor for another reason, and the vaccines are available, Barron encourages people to go ahead and get them.<\/p>\n<p>Others will want to be sure to get the newest vaccine before traveling or getting together with a lot of family and friends.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou might want to time your vaccines so you\u2019ll be protected for the holidays. Just remember that it takes two weeks for vaccines to go fully into effect,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>What\u2019s happening with hospitalizations for COVID-19 now? Are you expecting a big rise in COVID cases in the fall and winter, as in past years?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Barron always jokes that she doesn\u2019t have a Magic 8 Ball that allows her to predict what\u2019s going to happen in the coming months with infectious diseases.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI expect my Magic 8 Ball would say, \u2018Ask me later,\u2019\u201d Barron said with a laugh.<\/p>\n<p>In all seriousness, it\u2019s typical to see an increase in cases of flu and COVID-19 during the fall and winter months. So, Barron and other infectious disease experts can make educated guesses and are preparing for spikes in infections and hospitalizations during the traditional respiratory virus season.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLast year, during the fall and winter, we saw COVID and flu without as many RSV cases. We\u2019re certainly prepared for that kind of perfect storm again,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>The conditions in the late fall and winter months make it easy for viruses to spread.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cKids will be in school, people are traveling, the temperatures start to change and more people are indoors, so I expect that\u2019s what we\u2019ll see,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cCOVID-19 is now part of the repertoire of viruses we see every year in the fall and winter, and we should anticipate that we&#8217;re going to see it along with flu and other common viruses,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>The best preparation for respiratory virus season is to get updated vaccines.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe have very good, effective vaccines against flu and COVID that will keep you out of the hospital and keep you from getting a severe form of the disease,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe don&#8217;t know how severe the season will be until we know what\u2019s circulating,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBut it\u2019s always wise to get your vaccine so you can enjoy the lovely fall and winter months and all the wonderful holidays we get to celebrate,\u201d she said. \u201cYou won\u2019t want to be sick with the flu or COVID and have to stay home and miss out on the fun.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2><strong>What if I\u2019m traveling soon and I can\u2019t get the new COVID vaccine before I leave on my trip?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>For older people, others who are immunocompromised or people who are trying to stay healthy to protect other high-risk family members or friends, it\u2019s best to be cautious while you travel since the virus that causes COVID-19 is clearly spreading widely now.<\/p>\n<p>If you\u2019re traveling soon and haven\u2019t been able to get an updated vaccine, you can wear a mask in crowded indoor settings, like airports, Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>If health insurance covers the older version of the vaccine, travelers could get the current shot now. Then, in about 90 days, they could get the updated 2024\/2025 vaccine. Immunities from that shot would go into effect in time to protect people during the busy holiday season.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou could get an extra layer of protection,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAnd I most certainly emphasize the benefits of masks. You don\u2019t have to wear them all the time. But in dense crowds, the mask might give you a little more protection. There\u2019s certainly no harm from wearing one,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe most crucial place to protect yourself is when you&#8217;re in the airport because you can&#8217;t control who\u2019s around you. Once you\u2019re on the plane, the air filtration system is actually quite good.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAs long as the person sitting next to you isn\u2019t hacking on you, you\u2019d be fine taking your mask off on the plane,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>Anyone who wishes to get an extra dose of the 2023\/2024 COVID-19 vaccine should check with their doctor and insurance provider to make sure the cost is covered.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>What else can I do to stay healthy and avoid getting a case of COVID-19 this fall or winter?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The tried-and-true methods for staying healthy still hold true.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWash your hands, cover your cough and wear a mask if you\u2019re in dense crowds,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>Plus, stay home and isolate yourself from loved ones if you\u2019re sick.<\/p>\n<p>Whether you\u2019ve got a cold, the flu, RSV or COVID-19, it\u2019s kind not to share your germs with other people.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>If I\u2019m sick with COVID-19 now, what are the newest protocols to avoid infecting other people? Should I call my doctor right away if I test positive?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Barron said doctors encourage their patients to manage COVID-19 now just as they would if they got the flu.<\/p>\n<p>Please stay home and isolate until you\u2019re feeling better and you don\u2019t have a fever.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou should not expose yourself to others until you\u2019ve had no fever for at least 24 hours, and that\u2019s without taking acetaminophen or ibuprofen to bring a fever down. So you really have no fever,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAfter that, you can probably interact with people,\u201d Barron said.<\/p>\n<p>Wearing a mask as you recover is courteous.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019d ask you to wear a mask for a total of five days, and in the hospital, we have stricter protocols because people are sick and we have people who are much more vulnerable,\u201d Barron said. \u201cWe also have health care workers and we don\u2019t want to expose them, so they don\u2019t expose others.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The most dramatic evidence that COVID-19 cases have been spiking this summer came during the Paris Olympic Games when the \u201cWorld\u2019s Fastest Man\u201d collapsed on the track after one of his races. U.S. sprinter Noah Lyles still managed to win a bronze medal in the 200-meter race that he was projected to win, but after [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2123,"featured_media":77685,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_relevanssi_hide_post":"","_relevanssi_hide_content":"","_relevanssi_pin_for_all":"","_relevanssi_pin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_unpin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_include_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_exclude_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_no_append":"","_relevanssi_related_not_related":"","_relevanssi_related_posts":"","_relevanssi_noindex_reason":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[4860,9069,392,162],"class_list":["post-77651","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-covid-19","tag-covid-19-vaccine","tag-infection-prevention","tag-infectious-diseases"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.4 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>COVID cases spike this summer. What&#039;s expected for fall 2024?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"COVID has been on the rise this summer, making it a year-round party crasher. What&#039;s new, vaccines updates, and what to expect for fall 2024.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.uchealth.org\/today\/covid-cases-spike-in-summer-months-what-will-happen-in-fall-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"COVID-19 cases spike in summer months. What will happen in fall 2024?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"COVID has been on the rise this summer, making it a year-round party crasher. What&#039;s new, vaccines updates, and what to expect for fall 2024.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.uchealth.org\/today\/covid-cases-spike-in-summer-months-what-will-happen-in-fall-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"UCHealth Today\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/uchealthorg\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-08-20T16:35:52+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/uchealth-wp-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2024\/08\/15152116\/GettyImages-1165398672-young-adults-fun-watermelon-web.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Katie Kerwin McCrimmon, UCHealth\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@uchealth\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@uchealth\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Katie Kerwin McCrimmon, UCHealth\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"11 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.uchealth.org\\\/today\\\/covid-cases-spike-in-summer-months-what-will-happen-in-fall-2024\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.uchealth.org\\\/today\\\/covid-cases-spike-in-summer-months-what-will-happen-in-fall-2024\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Katie Kerwin McCrimmon, UCHealth\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.uchealth.org\\\/today\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d43cd81d6f8e440a3e496f8a012c68e9\"},\"headline\":\"COVID-19 cases spike in summer months. 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